- The Orioles are +105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Orioles vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Brewers TV Channel: MAS2 | FDWI | WITI
The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on Tuesday, May 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Orioles are 15-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 23-24 ATS.
Orioles vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Keegan Akin 0-0, 3.28 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 2-0, 2.53 ERA
Orioles vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -102 | +110 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -118 | -130 |
Orioles vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.30 Units / 255% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+12.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.58 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.79 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.08 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 44 games (+5.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+5.32 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 14-31 against the Run Line (-19.46 Units / -33.64% ROI).
- 15-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.5 Units / -41.24% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.73 Units / -1.45% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.27 Units / -6.4% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 23-24 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -9.28% ROI).
- 23-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -5.8% ROI
- 17-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -26.2% ROI
- 28-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 17.85% ROI
Brewers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Brewers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Brewers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Henderson (MIL) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
| Keegan Akin (BAL) | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (47/136) against Keegan Akin since last season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Keegan Akin has walked 5% of left-handed batters since the 2023 season — tied for 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 92nd Percentile.
Keegan Akin allowed an OBP of just .244 (311 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 7th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .304 — 93rd Percentile.
The last hit on a Keegan Akin changeup was March 29th. Hitters are 0 for their last 19 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Henderson has limited playing time.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Orioles are just 2-13 (.133) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Orioles are just 4-27 (.129) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Orioles are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Orioles are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Brewers are just 3-145 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Brewers are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Brewers are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Brewers are 53-5 (.914) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .265 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .534 (469 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of 1.224 (302 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.044.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .303 against RHP this month (17 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Brewers hitters had an OBP of .326 (4,530 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .574 (450 PA’s) against RHP this month (17 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .483 this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Orioles have allowed 6.61 runs per game (152/23) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Brewers have won just 11% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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