- The Orioles are +105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Orioles vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Diamondbacks TV Channel: MAS2 | DBTV | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Monday, April 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Orioles are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 5-5 ATS.
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 1-1, 3.86 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-1, 3.28 ERA
Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +170 | O 8.5 -118 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -210 | U 8.5 -102 | -125 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+11.50 Units / 288% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+6.60 Units / 132% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+6.60 Units / 132% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 82% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 154 games (+17.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 away games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 74 away games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+13.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 97 games (+12.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 64 of their last 128 games (+9.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 4-6 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -24.84% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -22.97% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 35.94% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -41.7% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 5-5 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.81% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 24.77% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -33.33% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 7 of 270 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin walked 7 of 252 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (29/68) against Zac Gallen this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 22% of Zac Gallen’s fastballs (16/74) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 51% (19/37) against Zac Gallen this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 52% (13/25) against Zac Gallen this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are 104-19 (.846) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Orioles are 160-13 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Orioles are 71-6 (.922) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Diamondbacks are 136-35 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are just 152-12 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 21-122 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters grounded into 71 double plays in 1,127 opportunities (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .350 (3,243 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (2,132 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 149 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Orioles have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 13 of 86 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 49 opportunities (2%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Orioles vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
