- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Dodgers TV Channel: MASN | SNLA | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Orioles are 77-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 65-68 ATS.
Orioles vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 1-6, 6.15 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-3, 7.56 ERA
Orioles vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | U 9 +100 | -145 |
Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+34.00 Units / 227% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+18.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+16.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+13.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+11.80 Units / 148% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 34 games (+29.60 Units / 87% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 49 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 125 games (+20.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+13.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 119 games (+5.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games at home (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 73-61 against the Run Line (+20.5 Units / 12.95% ROI).
- 77-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.29% ROI
- 72-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.45 Units / 11.29% ROI
- 51-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.45 Units / -19.37% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 65-68 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -5.02% ROI).
- 79-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -4.34% ROI
- 69-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.44% ROI
- 61-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -10.17% ROI
Dodgers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Dodgers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller (LAD) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .273 (6-for-22) against Cade Povich with two-strikes in his last two starts — tied for 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — 10th Percentile.
Cade Povich has a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (37/49) over the last 14 days — 5th highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (9/37) against Cade Povich in his last two starts — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (9/37) against Cade Povich this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has averaged 98.5 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.5 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 93.7 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Bobby Miller in the 2023 season was 383.7 feet — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Bobby Miller has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to April 5th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Orioles are 60-46 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 202-15 (.931) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Orioles are 17-9 (.654) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 88-28 (.759) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Dodgers are 154-27 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 288-167 (.633) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 56-28 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .773 (1,613 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Orioles hitters are slugging .443 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Orioles hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (12,745 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (12,745 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have won 37% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles pitchers won 42% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,261 of 16,830 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (4086.1 IP) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Dodgers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
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