- The Orioles are -115 favorites vs the Mariners
- Orioles vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Orioles / Mariners TV Channel: MAS2 | RTNW | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Orioles are 53-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 39-47 ATS.
Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 9-3, 3.74 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 7-5, 3.16 ERA
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | O 7 -105 | -110 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -115 | -110 |
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+17.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 69 games (+14.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+7.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 47-37 against the Run Line (+17.3 Units / 17.86% ROI).
- 53-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 9.12% ROI
- 43-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.45 Units / 11.5% ROI
- 30-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.55 Units / -19.12% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 39-47 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -11.27% ROI).
- 47-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.09% ROI
- 34-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.8 Units / -19.19% ROI
- 48-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.45 Units / 11.05% ROI
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a .497 SLG vs right-handed batters (third worst)– fourth Percentile and just .303 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (39/124) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 34% (32 SO in 93 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (42/124) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 9 of 396 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 21 of 657 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 20 of 646 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 3 of 153 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 82-14 (.854) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are 174-8 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Mariners are 27-2 (.931) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Mariners are 115-3 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Mariners are 28-13 (.683) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .462 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .819 (995 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .679.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .273 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .212 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 47 of 758 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.61 (234.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 39 of 762 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (196.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 18% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (1127.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Mariners vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Orioles vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
