- The Orioles are +100 favorites vs the Mariners
- Orioles vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Mariners TV Channel: MAS2 | RTNW
The Baltimore Orioles (-102) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-118) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Orioles are 23-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 28-31 ATS.
Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 1-4, 5.33 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 2-2, 5.73 ERA
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -115 | -102 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -105 | -118 |
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+15.00 Units / 188% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.40 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.70 Units / 72% ROI)
- Ben Williamson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+7.70 Units / 77% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+10.18 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+3.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 47 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 20-38 against the Run Line (-22.06 Units / -29.01% ROI).
- 23-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.25 Units / -27.94% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.63 Units / -7.17% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.87 Units / -1.33% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 28-31 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -3.58% ROI).
- 32-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -3.14% ROI
- 32-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 6.81% ROI
- 25-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.57 Units / -16.18% ROI
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Emerson Hancock (SEA) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Povich has allowed a slugging percentage of .684 (26 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Cade Povich has thrown his changeup for a strike just 44% (52/119) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 59% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (26/70) against Cade Povich’s fastball this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
14 of Cade Povich’s 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 5% (1/20) against Emerson Hancock’s elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters hitcont .409 (9-for-22) against Emerson Hancock in his last start — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Emerson Hancock did not walk any of the 25 right-handed batters that he faced in his last start — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (53/162) against Emerson Hancock since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are just 1-29 (.033) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Orioles are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are just 5-16 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Mariners were 33-7 (.825) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Mariners are 16-12 (.571) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Mariners were 49-32 (.605) at home in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .199 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .547 (538 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .272 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters slugged just .219 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .198 against Orioles pitchers with the shift in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .276 (5,788 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
More MLB Reading:
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