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The Baltimore Orioles () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 60-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 46-55 ATS.
Orioles vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Chayce McDermott 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 1-3, 7.37 ERA
Orioles vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Orioles vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 44 games (+32.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+26.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+14.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 games at home (+27.30 Units / 130% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 91 games (+16.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 54 games at home (+18.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+10.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 54-46 against the Run Line (+16.35 Units / 14.11% ROI).
- 60-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 3.6% ROI
- 51-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.65 Units / 8.9% ROI
- 38-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.35 Units / -16.77% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 46-55 against the Run Line (-25.16 Units / -18.78% ROI).
- 36-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.55 Units / -19.17% ROI
- 54-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 4.58% ROI
- 45-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -12.23% ROI
Marlins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Marlins vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIA) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chayce McDermott is making his MLB debut today.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has a first-pitch strike rate of just 27% (6/22) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 119 of 878 batters (14%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 86 of 587 batters (15%) since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .109 (7 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Edward Cabrera with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Orioles are 57-44 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 53-30 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are 20-15 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Orioles are 187-14 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Marlins are just 10-12 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .758.
The Marlins are just 2-4 (.333) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Marlins are just 9-14 (.391) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Marlins are just 18-12 (.600) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .798 (1,196 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Orioles hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Orioles hitters are slugging .452 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Orioles hitters are slugging .317 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,908 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .283 (1,203 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .204 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 256 of 3,793 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.86 (261.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Marlins have won just just 9% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Marlins vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Peyton Burdick (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dane Myers (Miami Marlins): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Sixto Sanchez (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins): Finger, 60-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins): Back, 60-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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