- The Orioles are -105 favorites vs the Nationals
- Orioles vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | MASN | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Thursday, April 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Orioles are 9-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 12-12 ATS.
Orioles vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-2, 6.51 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-2, 3.46 ERA
Orioles vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Orioles vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.50 Units / 206% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.95 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+23.10 Units / 231% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 64% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 23 games (+5.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 10 games at home (+10.45 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+9.45 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.35 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 8-15 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -26.29% ROI).
- 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -31.2% ROI
- 13-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 21.78% ROI
- 7-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -28.4% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 12-12 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -4.95% ROI).
- 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -1.78% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.61% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -3.96% ROI
Nationals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gary Sanchez (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Dylan Crews (WAS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dylan Crews (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dylan Crews (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Nationals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .356 (16-for-45) against Cade Povich when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .191 — first Percentile.
Cade Povich has allowed an OPS of 1.086 (75 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .688 — second Percentile.
Cade Povich has allowed an OPS of 1.039 (89 PA’s) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .704 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (30-for-80) against Cade Povich this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 44% (20 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 64% (21 SO in 33 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (141/473) versus MacKenzie Gore in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 38% (45 SO in 119 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Orioles are just 1-8 (.111) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Orioles are just 0-13 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Orioles are 149-22 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 50-84 (.373) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Orioles (fourth best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .033.
The Nationals were just 27-44 (.380) after a win in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .400 (193 PA’s) against LHP this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .675.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .188 against LHP this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .367.
The Orioles are batting just .136 against LHP this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters struck out just 809 times in 4,217 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters had 298 extra-base hits out of 950 total hits (just 31%) against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,749 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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