- The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: BSUN | MASN | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Sunday, August 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 70-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 58-58 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 5-4, 3.66 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs 0-1, 6.24 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -110 | -110 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -110 | -110 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+34.10 Units / 341% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 24 games (+21.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+13.05 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 44 games (+22.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+12.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 71 games (+18.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+16.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 103 games (+12.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 69 of their last 113 games (+21.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 107 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+4.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 63-55 against the Run Line (+16.15 Units / 11.84% ROI).
- 70-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.58% ROI
- 66-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +21.45 Units / 16.76% ROI
- 41-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -32.05 Units / -24.75% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 58-58 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.2% ROI).
- 58-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -6.99% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -8.2% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jose Siri (TB) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has a strike rate of just 59% (118/201) in his last three starts — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Albert Suarez has a strike rate of just 59% (276/465) in two strike counts this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Albert Suarez has allowed three-ball counts to 36% of batters they faced (17/47 PA’s) in his last three starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 19% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (74/257) against Albert Suarez this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 40% (6/15) of opposing batters this month (1 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OBP of .529 (17 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (1 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .312 — third Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to April 13rd, 2023 — Austin Gomber has the longest active streak at 7.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OPS of 1.222 (17 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (1 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .734 — sixth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 54-33 (.621) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 85-28 (.752) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 56-4 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rays are 11-105 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rays are just 16-32 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .454 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Orioles hitters are slugging .433 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .795 (1,429 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting .261 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have walked 268 of 3,951 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 253 of 3,926 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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