- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MAS2 | BSUN | ESPN+
The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+120) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 68-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 58-56 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 7-7, 4.04 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 5-7, 4.09 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -115 | -145 |
| Rays | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -105 | +120 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 47 games (+31.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 22 games (+19.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+15.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Runs Over in his last 9 games (+14.05 Units / 156% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+13.25 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 42 games (+24.30 Units / 58% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+18.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 107 games (+13.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+10.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+3.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 68 of their last 111 games (+21.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 105 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 61-55 against the Run Line (+13.6 Units / 10.12% ROI).
- 68-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 65-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +21.55 Units / 17.13% ROI
- 40-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.9 Units / -25.07% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 58-56 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.34% ROI).
- 58-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -5.67% ROI
- 53-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -8.26% ROI
- 58-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 1 of 189 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 14 of 513 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of .484 (59 Total Bases / 122 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — third Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .231 (186 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 95th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (40/139) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
13 of Zack Littell’s 36 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 5 of 196 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (127/373) against Zack Littell this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Orioles are 90-16 (.849) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 56-4 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 9-46 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Rays are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays are 25-93 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,402 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .454 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Orioles hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have 196 strikeouts in 606 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .668 (3,220 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Orioles pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 753 of 10,279 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,137 of 16,209 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
