- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MAS2 | BSUN | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-140) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 41-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 27-37 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 6-2, 3.30 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 2-3, 3.58 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -105 | -140 |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -115 | +115 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+14.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.30 Units / 76% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+11.70 Units / 130% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+17.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 61 games (+22.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+3.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 37-26 against the Run Line (+17.15 Units / 23.32% ROI).
- 41-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.95 Units / 10.96% ROI
- 32-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 10.29% ROI
- 23-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -18.04% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 27-37 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -14.21% ROI).
- 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -13.59% ROI
- 33-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.5% ROI
- 31-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -7.72% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has a strike rate of 74% (131/176) over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has a strike rate of 74% (131/176) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (56/152) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of 80% (43/54) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 51% of the time (148/288) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 45% of the time (324/717) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (27/82) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 1 of 108 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
The Orioles are 13-6 (.684) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Orioles are 7-4 (.636) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .372.
The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 10-83 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 27-46 (.370) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Rays are just 16-35 (.314) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .322 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Orioles hitters are slugging .441 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .799 (652 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Orioles hitters are slugging .496 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 174 strikeouts in 534 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays are batting .266 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .343 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 141 of 2,028 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 35 of 570 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,005 of 14,385 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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