- The Orioles are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Orioles vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Royals TV Channel: MASN | FDKC
The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Saturday, April 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO, MO.
This season, the Orioles are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 3-4 ATS.
Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 0-1, 4.50 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 0-1, 2.25 ERA
Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -115 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -105 | -115 |
Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+15.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+9.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 154 games (+17.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 away games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 74 away games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 90 of their last 160 games (+10.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 86 of their last 161 games (+4.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 3-5 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -31.15% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -27.53% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 44.57% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -51.41% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 3-4 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -18.43% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -22.98% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 10.53% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -17.95% ROI
Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tomoyuki Sugano has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (18/53) against Tomoyuki Sugano in non-two strike counts this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (128/452) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted just .188 (45-for-239) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 93rd Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (218/464) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 103-26 (.798) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are 70-25 (.737) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .627.
The Orioles were 42-29 (.592) after a loss in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 21-67 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals are just 14-80 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals hitters have just 910 strikeouts in 4,710 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
36% of Royals’ plate appearances have been three-ball counts (15/42 PA’s) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (69.0 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
More MLB Reading:
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