- The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Royals
- Orioles vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Royals TV Channel: MASN | FDKC | KSMO | KCTV
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on Sunday, April 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO, MO.
This season, the Orioles are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 3-5 ATS.
Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-0, 6.24 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+15.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 154 games (+17.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 away games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 74 away games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 90 of their last 160 games (+10.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 4-5 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -19.58% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -14.5% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 49.75% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -56.78% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 3-5 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -25.32% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -32.24% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 20.69% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -28.09% ROI
Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Gary Sanchez (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Royals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +135 |
| Kris Bubic (KC) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 34% (59/175) against Cade Povich in the 2024 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 27 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Cade Povich. — Tyler Glasnow has the longest active streak at 41.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (63/182) against Cade Povich since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Cade Povich had a strikeout rate of just 13% (10/76) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (11/25) against Kris Bubic on fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (7/20) against Kris Bubic this season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 86th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (3 Total Bases / 21 ABs) this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (8/16) against Kris Bubic on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 70-25 (.737) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .627.
The Orioles are 111-83 (.572) after a win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Orioles were just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles were 47-34 (.580) on the road in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 14-80 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Royals are just 141-165 (.461) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 914 strikeouts in 4,737 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters struck out just 863 times in 4,480 PA’s (19%) against RHP in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .990 (2,278 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers won 41% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have 17 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (726.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Royals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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