Orioles vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 27

(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • The Tigers are -210 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Tigers TV Channel: MAS2 | FDDT | MLBN

The Baltimore Orioles (+170) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-210) on Sunday, April 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.

This season, the Orioles are 10-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 17-10 ATS.

Orioles vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 2-3, 6.85 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 2-2, 2.83 ERA

Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -135O 7.5 -115+170
Tigers -1.5 +115U 7.5 -105-210

Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+22.00 Units / 275% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.25 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.30 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 10-16 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -19.88% ROI).

  • 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -31.93% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 7.71% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -14.66% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 17-10 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 20.37% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 17.63% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -21.18% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 14.43% ROI

Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Trey Sweeney (DET) 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Dillon Dingler (DET) 0.5 +775 0.5 -1400

Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gleyber Torres (DET) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Zach McKinstry (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Zach McKinstry (DET) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +210 0.5 -295

Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal (DET) 6.5 -150 6.5 +115
Dean Kremer (BAL) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105

Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (138/518) versus Dean Kremer in 2023 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Dean Kremer allowed an OPS of 1.346 (26 PA’s) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .661 — first Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 77% (101/132) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 72% (731/1,021) in two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .166 (507 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 97th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .328 (507 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .480 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Orioles are just 1-15 (.062) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Orioles are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Orioles are 42-14 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.

The Orioles are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Tigers are 1-9 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.

The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Tigers are 7-68 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.

Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .243 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .443 (239 PA’s) against LHP this month (19 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .679.

Orioles hitters are slugging .446 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

The Tigers are batting just .236 against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Tigers are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Tigers are batting just .132 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,128 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.39 (100.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.51.

Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.