- The Twins are -150 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Twins TV Channel: MASN | TWTV | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Thursday, May 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the Orioles are 13-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 20-17 ATS.
Orioles vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 3-4, 5.79 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-1, 3.73 ERA
Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -105 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -115 | -150 |
Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+24.60 Units / 273% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+12.70 Units / 159% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.24 Units / 65% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.54 Units / 23% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 12-23 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -28.87% ROI).
- 13-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -32.23% ROI
- 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -3.39% ROI
- 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -3.75% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 20-17 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 9.63% ROI).
- 17-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -13.59% ROI
- 13-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -24.97% ROI
- 21-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 16.85% ROI
Twins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brooks Lee (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Twins vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 6.5 +140 | 6.5 -185 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (19/128) against Dean Kremer this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has struck out just 12% (12/102) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (48/306) against Dean Kremer this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .295 against Bailey Ober non-fastballs this season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile. Opponents batted just .137 (40-for-293) against him non-fastballs last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a .477 SLG non-fastballs this season — sixth worst among qualified SPs– eighth Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .249 non-fastballs last season — second best among qualified SPs– 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .366 (15-for-41) against Bailey Ober’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .213 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .137 (40-for-293) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles are just 2-11 (.154) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Orioles were 45-9 (.833) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins are just 1-85 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Twins are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Twins are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
The Twins are just 4-18 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .178 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .496 (391 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of 1.296 (231 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.035.
Orioles hitters are slugging .815 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .559.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Twins are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are averaging 4.18 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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