- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | MASN | YES
The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Orioles are 47-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 44-30 ATS.
Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 3-0, 1.61 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 3-5, 3.61 ERA
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -105 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -115 | -150 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 23 games (+21.50 Units / 93% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+22.70 Units / 568% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 40 games (+19.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+17.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+17.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 62 games (+23.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 56 games (+17.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 40 games (+22.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 40 games (+22.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+19.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 51 games (+17.49 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 74 games (+16.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 43-28 against the Run Line (+22.95 Units / 27.99% ROI).
- 47-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 13.44% ROI
- 35-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 10.44% ROI
- 25-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.65 Units / -17.62% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 44-30 against the Run Line (+18.85 Units / 21.28% ROI).
- 50-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.15 Units / 14.8% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.72% ROI
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jorge Mateo (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has an ERA of 1.61 (44.2 IP)this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 3.85 — 99th Percentile.
Albert Suarez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 32.0 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 56.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (8/32) against Albert Suarez — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Albert Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .191 (47 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .312 — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (68/212) against Nestor Cortes this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has averaged 77.3 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 84.9 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (49/176) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (122/430) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 49-25 (.662) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 9-7 (.562) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Yankees are 8-13 (.381) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Yankees are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Orioles hitters are slugging .450 against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .794 (835 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (207.1 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Yankees have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 56 of 503 batters (11%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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