Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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New York Yankees' Aaron Judge during the ninth inning of a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles Thursday, May 25, 2023, in New York. The Orioles won 3-1.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | AMZP | MLBN

The Baltimore Orioles (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 47-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 45-30 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-1, 4.77 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -140O 8 -115+145
Yankees -1.5 +115U 8 -105-175

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 24 games (+24.40 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+22.70 Units / 568% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 41 games (+20.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+16.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+21.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 41 games (+24.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 41 games (+23.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games (+20.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 52 games (+18.49 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 75 games (+17.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 43-29 against the Run Line (+21.3 Units / 25.46% ROI).

  • 47-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 12.34% ROI
  • 35-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 8.74% ROI
  • 26-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -16.12% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 45-30 against the Run Line (+20.3 Units / 22.66% ROI).

  • 51-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.15 Units / 15.52% ROI
  • 35-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -8.29% ROI
  • 38-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.48% ROI

Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jose Trevino (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
DJ LeMahieu (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gerrit Cole (NYY) 5.5 -120 5.5 -105
Cade Povich (BAL) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110

Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Cade Povich when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.

Cade Povich has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 15 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .411 — 100th Percentile.

Cade Povich has allowed an OPS of just .167 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .711 — 100th Percentile.

Cade Povich has allowed an OBP of .389 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .273 — 10th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .241 (584 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .538 (585 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .297 (163 Total Bases / 549 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .195 (107-for-549) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are 49-26 (.653) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .111.

The Orioles are 92-56 (.622) after a win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .507.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 9-7 (.562) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Yankees are 57-17 (.770) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .617.

The Yankees are 10-6 (.625) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .371.

Orioles hitters have 96 extra-base hits out of 232 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Orioles hitters are slugging .450 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .795 (847 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.

Orioles hitters are slugging .450 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Yankees hitters are slugging .743 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .558.

Yankees hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,155 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,033 of their 8,823 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Orioles have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 3.09 (650.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.

The Yankees have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Yankees pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 25% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.