- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES | TBS
The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Orioles are 86-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 82-74 ATS.
Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 7-10, 4.15 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-4, 2.36 ERA
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -110 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -160 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+30.00 Units / 158% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Runs Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+11.60 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 45 games (+24.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+16.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.80 Units / 148% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 81 games (+20.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 147 games (+13.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 109 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 away games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 99 games (+17.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 122 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 82-74 against the Run Line (+13.7 Units / 7.34% ROI).
- 86-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -4.42% ROI
- 83-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.45 Units / 9.66% ROI
- 61-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.25 Units / -17.71% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 82-74 against the Run Line (+11.9 Units / 6.32% ROI).
- 92-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -3.53% ROI
- 82-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 3.25% ROI
- 69-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.05 Units / -12.28% ROI
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (69/362) against Dean Kremer this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (11/83) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (129-for-451) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .247 — seventh Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt had an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season was 382.5 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since last season is 383.7 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2611.6 RPM on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 2236.5 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 21-12 (.636) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Orioles are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Orioles are 34-10 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 78-23 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 31-16 (.660) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Yankees are 121-36 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 212 walks in 1,748 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 486 walks in 4,465 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 324 walks in 2,916 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 31 walks in 199 PA’s (16%) against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 1,376 of 18,009 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
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