- The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES | ESPN+
The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Wednesday, September 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Orioles are 87-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 82-75 ATS.
Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 10-9, 3.53 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 9-10, 3.78 ERA
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -125 | -145 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+37.50 Units / 188% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+15.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 46 games (+25.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+16.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+13.80 Units / 125% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 82 games (+19.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 148 games (+14.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 110 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 56 away games (+3.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 100 games (+17.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+14.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 83-74 against the Run Line (+14.7 Units / 7.81% ROI).
- 87-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 83-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.45 Units / 9.59% ROI
- 61-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.25 Units / -17.61% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 82-75 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 5.76% ROI).
- 92-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -4.16% ROI
- 82-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 3.23% ROI
- 69-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.05 Units / -12.21% ROI
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 6 of 340 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (31/340 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 13 of 522 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 19 of 662 batters (3%) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (161/505) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .510 (130 Total Bases / 255 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (135/403) against Nestor Cortes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 10% (34/343) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 22-12 (.647) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Orioles are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Orioles are 135-21 (.865) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 31-16 (.660) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Yankees are 78-23 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 63-72 (.467) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .361.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Orioles are 152-113 (.565) against the run line (10.0% ROI) after a win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 214 walks in 1,759 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 488 walks in 4,476 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 33 walks in 210 PA’s (16%) against LHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 1,380 of 18,045 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have walked 296 of 4,297 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (712.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (2120.0 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
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