- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (+130) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on Thursday, September 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Orioles are 88-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 82-76 ATS.
Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 15-8, 2.95 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 7-5, 3.67 ERA
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +130 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -155 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games (+36.50 Units / 174% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+17.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 47 games (+26.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+17.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 19 games at home (+12.90 Units / 68% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+18.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 149 games (+15.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 111 games (+14.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 away games (+4.10 Units / 6% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 101 games (+18.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 124 games (+13.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 84-74 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 8.26% ROI).
- 88-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -3.27% ROI
- 84-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.45 Units / 10.11% ROI
- 61-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.35 Units / -18.13% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 82-76 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 5.2% ROI).
- 92-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 83-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 3.78% ROI
- 69-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.15 Units / -12.77% ROI
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 68% of the time (156/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 39 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 75% of the time (174/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (498/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .576 (727 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .208 (141-for-677) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 91st Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .582 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .260 (726 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 95th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 36-89 (.288) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Orioles are 54-76 (.415) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Orioles are 213-15 (.934) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 31-16 (.660) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Yankees are 78-23 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .627.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 79-55 (.590) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Orioles are 60-33 (.625) against the run line (24.3% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Orioles hitters are slugging .429 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 214 walks in 1,767 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 488 walks in 4,484 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 326 walks in 2,935 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 91 walks in 759 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers won 41% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (2120.0 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
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