- The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Padres / Braves TV Channel: ESPN
The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-120) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Padres are 23-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 21-20 ATS.
Padres vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 3-1, 2.44 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 1-1, 4.95 ERA
Padres vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Padres | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -120 | +100 |
Braves | -1.5 +155 | U 9 +100 | -120 |
Padres vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 17 away games (+23.50 Units / 138% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+15.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+11.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+17.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+14.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+14.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.15 Units / 43% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 21 away games (+12.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+6.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 27 games (+21.75 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 24-23 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 4.37% ROI).
- 23-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -10.38% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -8.46% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 21-20 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 4.09% ROI).
- 26-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 2.66% ROI
- 12-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.3 Units / -38.62% ROI
- 27-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.9 Units / 30.55% ROI
Braves vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Braves vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryce Elder (ATL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Yu Darvish (SD) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 72% (13/18) against Yu Darvish on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
Yu Darvish has a strike rate of 74% (136/184) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OPS of just .334 (43 PA’s) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .678 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .200 against Yu Darvish on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP– 91st Percentile. Opponents batted .455 (30-for-66) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– third Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (38/66) against Bryce Elder this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (60/437) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (9/66) against Bryce Elder this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has averaged 89.8 MPH on fastballs since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — fifth Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Padres are just 6-18 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Padres are just 18-33 (.353) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Padres are 25-27 (.481) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Padres are just 4-149 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Braves are 34-54 (.386) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 29-38 (.433) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Braves are 49-47 (.510) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .288 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Padres are batting just .209 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Padres hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 85 total hits (52%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .334 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .849 (1,835 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Braves hitters are slugging .483 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Braves hitters are slugging .502 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .477 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (5,009 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.8 MPH (962 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.8 MPH this season (962 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Padres vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.