- The Padres are +100 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV | TBS
The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 90-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 77-79 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 12-9, 3.06 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 3-4, 3.40 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 46 games (+31.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 49 games (+14.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.15 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+22.50 Units / 205% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+15.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+13.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Walks Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+11.25 Units / 59% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 79 games (+20.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 75 away games (+14.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+21.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 79-77 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 2.69% ROI).
- 90-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 3.96% ROI
- 81-71 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 1.99% ROI
- 71-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.95 Units / -10.96% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 77-79 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -4.02% ROI).
- 93-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 86-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.45 Units / 8.43% ROI
- 65-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.7 Units / -17.25% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Landon Knack (LAD) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has a strikeout rate of 34% (91 SO in 270 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Michael King has walked 24 of 270 batters (9%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 19th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 34% (157/458) against Michael King when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.6 MPH this season (425 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 88.9
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/34) against Landon Knack this month (3 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 41% — third Percentile.
Landon Knack has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 14 opportunities (0%) this month (3 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 19th Percentile.
Landon Knack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (34/42) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Landon Knack has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (4 Total Bases / 32 ABs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 90th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 17-11 (.607) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Padres are 19-45 (.297) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Padres are 17-31 (.354) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Padres are 52-35 (.598) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 164-28 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 264-48 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 59-29 (.670) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 273 strikeouts in 1,575 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 1,032 strikeouts in 5,886 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .205 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.223 (2,439 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (12,347 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (13,338 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .773 (9,637 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .161 against Padres pitchers this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 49% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (2189.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
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