- The Padres are -160 favorites vs the Giants
- Padres vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Padres / Giants TV Channel: PDTV | NSBA | MLBN
The San Diego Padres (-160) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+135) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Padres are 82-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 72-75 ATS.
Padres vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 5-5, 4.58 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Mason Black 0-3, 7.83 ERA
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -105 | -160 |
| Giants | +1.5 -125 | U 7.5 -115 | +135 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 50 games (+30.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Giants Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 73-74 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 82-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.86% ROI
- 80-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.05 Units / 6.25% ROI
- 64-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.85 Units / -15.25% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 72-75 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -4.81% ROI).
- 72-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -7.15% ROI
- 74-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 67-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -8.91% ROI
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jerar Encarnacion (SF) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Musgrove (SD) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Mason Black (SF) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OPS of 1.618 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .660 — second Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.118 (19 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.118 (19 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .361 — second Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OPS of 1.261 (23 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .631 — second Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mason Black has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to May 6th — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 11.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (3/14) against Mason Black this month (1 games) — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Mason Black has a strike rate of 71% (66/93) this month (1 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (7/37) against Mason Black this month (1 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 46-34 (.575) after a win this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Padres are 17-31 (.354) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Padres are 42-30 (.583) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Padres are 123-21 (.854) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 124-4 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are 30-198 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Giants are just 33-49 (.402) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 1 strikeout in 33 PA’s (3%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres hitters have just 1 strikeout in 33 PA’s (3%) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,504 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have not struck out in 14 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .257 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Giants are batting just .221 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Giants are batting just .157 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Giants are batting just .224 with two outs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 13 of 90 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres pitchers have walked 14 of 98 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
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