- The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Angels
- Phillies vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Angels TV Channel: BSW | NSP+
The Philadelphia Phillies (-140) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+120) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 19-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 13-15 ATS.
Phillies vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull 2-0, 1.33 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 2-3, 1.78 ERA
Phillies vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 +100 | -140 |
| Angels | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -120 | +120 |
Phillies vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+12.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+16.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 102% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 53% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 15-14 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 3.03% ROI).
- 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 11.37% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -17.67% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 8.1% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 13-15 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -20% ROI).
- 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 4.63% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -14.69% ROI
Angels vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Angels vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Angels vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OBP of just .087 (23 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .077 (3-for-39) against Spencer Turnbull when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Spencer Turnbull when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 20 AB’s against Spencer Turnbull with two-strikes over the last 14 days — tied for best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .152 — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 5% (1 SO in 20 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (5-for-40) against Tyler Anderson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 95th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (230/751) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (6-for-47) against Tyler Anderson’s non-fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 89th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Phillies are 21-21 (.500) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Phillies are 12-9 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Phillies are 95-54 (.638) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Phillies are 162-11 (.936) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Angels are just 57-28 (.671) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Angels are just 72-8 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 97-41 (.703) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Angels are just 9-154 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .502 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .587 (583 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Phillies are batting .252 with two outs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .755 (5,080 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have chased 8% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Angels have won just 33% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,018 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .312 (1,685 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .143 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since last season (4,710 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 183 of 1,691 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 117 of 1,112 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 305 of 3,131 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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