- The Phillies are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Phillies vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Cardinals TV Channel: FDMW | NSP+
The Philadelphia Phillies (-160) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+135) on Saturday, April 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Phillies are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-6 ATS.
Phillies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 0-0, 4.10 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 0-1, 11.26 ERA
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 +100 | -160 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -140 | U 7.5 -120 | +135 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+11.75 Units / 168% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.40 Units / 75% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.55 Units / 68% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
- Luken Baker has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.75 Units / 96% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.15 Units / 66% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 84 away games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 87 of their last 164 games (+2.95 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 84 away games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 82 games at home (+4.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 8-5 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 3.28% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 13.93% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -40.97% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 33.1% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 7-6 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -1.53% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -13.91% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 39.79% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -48.96% ROI
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (324/557) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (139/230) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (336/584) against Cristopher Sanchez since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 14% (74/529) against Miles Mikolas in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (77/554) against Miles Mikolas since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in 2023 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 16% (221/1,347) against Miles Mikolas in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies are 89-18 (.832) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Phillies are 12-124 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies were 28-22 (.560) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Braves (15th best runs scored) today.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are 69-4 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals are 75-2 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .271 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .343 (2,088 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .912 (158 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .671.
Phillies hitters are slugging .440 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .226 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .380 (285 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .343 (402 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .382 (137 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have allowed 8.17 runs per game (49/6) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.69.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 7.08 (54.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Phillies vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
