- The Phillies are -210 favorites vs the Giants
- Phillies vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Giants TV Channel: NSPA | NSBA | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-225) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+180) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 38-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 28-27 ATS.
Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 6-3, 2.53 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -125 | O 7.5 -110 | -225 |
| Giants | +1.5 +105 | U 7.5 -110 | +180 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 50 games (+14.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 away games (+12.70 Units / 85% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 26 games (+20.60 Units / 79% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+13.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 38 games (+25.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 39 games (+16.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 58% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-24 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 11.17% ROI).
- 38-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 13.87% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.75% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -8.15% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 28-27 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 4.83% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -13.22% ROI
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Matos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +120 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .125 (15-for-120) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .178 (129 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (448/1,062) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .362 (130 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .655 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (4/54) against Erik Miller this season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (4/54) against Erik Miller this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Erik Miller has struck out 42% (16/38) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Erik Miller has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (37/100) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 47-27 (.635) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Phillies are 13-138 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies are 77-50 (.606) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 13-9 (.591) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 39-66 (.371) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Giants are just 26-30 (.464) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Giants are 17-94 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .383 (240 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .346 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies hitters are slugging .504 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Phillies have scored first in 84% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 1,046 strikeouts in 4,268 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .407 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Giants hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Giants hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .118 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 16% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Phillies have won 60% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 115 of 1,925 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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