- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Mets TV Channel: TBS | Max | SNY | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Tuesday, April 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Phillies are 13-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 12-11 ATS.
Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 2-0, 2.92 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 2-1, 3.49 ERA
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -115 | -135 |
| Mets | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -105 | +115 |
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+11.90 Units / 149% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+15.10 Units / 216% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 13-10 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.67% ROI).
- 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -1.17% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.39% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -8.33% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-11 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 5.47% ROI).
- 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 19.44% ROI
- 8-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -34.5% ROI
- 15-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 24.85% ROI
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez has a strikeout rate of 57% with two strikes this season — eighth highest among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two strikes last season — sixth lowest among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (324/557) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (145/373) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .527 (154 Total Bases / 292 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .871 (324 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .659 — fourth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 59% (736/1,239) of the time since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — second Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 3-7 (.300) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 12-128 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are 112-63 (.640) at home since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .033.
The Mets are 33-24 (.579) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .272 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,200 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .782 (2,200 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Phillies hitters struck out 471 times in 1,869 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .165 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .138 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Mets hitters have struck out in just 15% of it’s PA’s against right-handed relievers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies pitchers walked 444 of 6,050 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.66 (105.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.49.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.43 (204.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have won 71% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
More MLB Reading:
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