- The Phillies are -160 favorites vs the Mets
- Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Phillies / Mets TV Channel: ESPN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+130) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.
Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 16-6, 2.57 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 4-5, 4.09 ERA
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +115 | O 7 -120 | -155 |
| Mets | +1.5 -140 | U 7 +100 | +130 |
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 away games (+14.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+13.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 away games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+30.00 Units / 600% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 62 games (+18.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 95 games (+12.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 away games (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+69.58 Units / 142% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 95 games (+20.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 96 games (+15.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .156 (50-for-321) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .425 (340 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .195 (339 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (74 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Tylor Megill in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Tylor Megill when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed an OPS of just .284 (44 PA’s) in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .656 — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .077 (2-for-26) against Tylor Megill in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Phillies are 80-13 (.860) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Phillies are 12-115 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are 7-56 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 15-187 (.074) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Mets are just 14-66 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are 10-133 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 67% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Phillies are batting .259 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Phillies hitters are slugging .446 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,854 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .445 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .347 (2,136 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Mets hitters are slugging .626 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .561.
The Mets have been successful on 56% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Phillies have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 558 of 5,842 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 1,149 of 11,926 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 118 of 1,386 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
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