- The Phillies are -120 favorites vs the Rays
- Phillies vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+100) on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Phillies are 19-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 15-19 ATS.
Phillies vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 2-1, 3.48 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 1-2, 2.64 ERA
Phillies vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -115 | -120 |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -105 | +100 |
Phillies vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+21.20 Units / 353% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Walks Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kameron Misner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+6.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Kameron Misner has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.05 Units / 76% ROI)
- Kameron Misner has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 34 games (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 17-17 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -5.16% ROI).
- 19-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -2.11% ROI
- 16-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 18-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.91% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 15-19 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -11.18% ROI).
- 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -9.49% ROI
- 13-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -14.09% ROI
- 19-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 8.94% ROI
Rays vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Rays vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .161 (56-for-348) against Zack Wheeler in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler allowed an OBP of just .201 (368 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .112 (57-for-508) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .211 (440 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 57% of the time (60/106) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 56% of the time (151/270) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (215/467) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (125/249) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies were 28-22 (.560) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Braves (15th best runs scored) today.
The Phillies are just 8-16 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rays are 2-15 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Rays are 14-142 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are just 7-11 (.389) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Rays are 4-16 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .082.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .270 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Phillies hitters slugged .441 against LHP in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .779 (4,194 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .551 (380 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.
The Rays are batting just .188 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Rays hitters have an OBP of just .276 (380 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 32 double plays in 218 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 29% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Phillies vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
