- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Phillies vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Phillies / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-250) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+200) on Monday, May 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Phillies are 28-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 16-30 ATS.
Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 4-1, 2.89 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-6, 6.11 ERA
Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -2.5 -118 | O 10 -102 | -250 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -102 | U 10 -118 | +200 |
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 66.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.40 Units / 310% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.48 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+16.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.57 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games (+0.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 24-22 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.8% ROI).
- 28-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 5.17% ROI
- 20-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -14.76% ROI
- 25-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 6.35% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 16-30 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -27.4% ROI).
- 8-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.35 Units / -50.05% ROI
- 19-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -18.89% ROI
- 26-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 9.63% ROI
Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (385/667) against Cristopher Sanchez since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (324/557) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (154/254) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .355 (55-for-155) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .327 (64-for-196) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (34/51) against Kyle Freeland in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .434 (33-for-76) against Kyle Freeland’s fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are 6-13 (.316) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Phillies are 13-135 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 58-9 (.853) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 109-15 (.872) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 0-6 (.000) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Games involving the Phillies went OVER in 68% of their games (38.1% ROI) when underdogs since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Phillies are batting .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 64% at home since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 35% since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have won just 29% of games in which they have scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.
The Rockies have won just 33% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Phillies have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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