- The Phillies are -285 favorites vs the Rockies
- Phillies vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Phillies / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-285) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+225) on Tuesday, May 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Phillies are 29-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 16-31 ATS.
Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 4-0, 2.00 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 1-7, 6.60 ERA
Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -2.5 -125 | O 10.5 -102 | -285 |
| Rockies | +2.5 +105 | U 10.5 -118 | +225 |
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 66.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.20 Units / 264% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.40 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+10.55 Units / 151% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Adael Amador has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.18 Units / 10% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 46 games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+14.57 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games at home (+2.17 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 25-22 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 2.51% ROI).
- 29-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 6.32% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -12.51% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 4.18% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 16-31 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -28.76% ROI).
- 8-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.35 Units / -51.1% ROI
- 20-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.5 Units / -16.52% ROI
- 26-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 7.41% ROI
Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Freeman (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Senzatela (COL) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
| Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has a first-pitch strike rate of 82% (62/76) this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has a first-pitch strike rate of 82% (62/76) this month (3 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Jesus Luzardo on low fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — fifth Percentile.
32% of Jesus Luzardo’s strikeouts are in the zone since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .396 (40-for-101) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .381 (74-for-194) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OBP of .378 (90 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .309 (25-for-81) against Antonio Senzatela with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .172 — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are 7-13 (.350) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Phillies are 13-135 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are 19-60 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Phillies are 107-22 (.829) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 58-9 (.853) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 49-137 (.262) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Rockies are just 109-15 (.872) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 89-37 (.701) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .273 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .342 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,469 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Phillies hitters slugged .441 against LHP in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 34% since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies pitchers have struck out 28% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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