- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Phillies vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Phillies / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-210) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+170) on Wednesday, May 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
This season, the Phillies are 30-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 16-32 ATS.
Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 1-3, 2.60 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Carson Palmquist 0-1, 11.26 ERA
Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -2.5 -102 | O 11.5 -110 | -210 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -118 | U 11.5 -110 | +170 |
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+12.20 Units / 203% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.75 Units / 86% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.60 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.40 Units / 310% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Adael Amador has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+7.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.18 Units / 11% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 47 games (+16.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+13.57 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+1.22 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 26-22 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 4.1% ROI).
- 30-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 7.36% ROI
- 21-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -14.16% ROI
- 26-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 5.98% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 16-32 against the Run Line (-16.4 Units / -30.06% ROI).
- 8-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.35 Units / -52.11% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -18.11% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 9.13% ROI
Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Johan Rojas (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Carson Palmquist (COL) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -118 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker allowed a slugging percentage of .590 (200 Total Bases / 339 ABs) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 58% (457/788) in two strike counts in 2023 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Taijuan Walker allowed an OPS of .977 (382 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (256/1,250) against Taijuan Walker in 2023 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — sixth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carson Palmquist has limited playing time.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are 7-13 (.350) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Phillies are 13-135 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are 32-118 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Phillies are 37-30 (.552) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Rockies (19th best runs scored) today.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 89-37 (.701) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Rockies are just 7-36 (.163) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .416 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Games involving the Phillies went OVER in 68% of their games (38.1% ROI) when underdogs since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Phillies are batting .288 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 12% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 34% since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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