- The Pirates are -105 favorites vs the Cubs
- Pirates vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Pirates / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT | MLBN
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-115) on Friday, June 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Pirates are 28-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 36-33 ATS.
Pirates vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 4-6, 1.89 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Cade Horton 3-1, 4.11 ERA
Pirates vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +170 | O 7 -118 | -105 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -210 | U 7 -102 | -115 |
Pirates vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul Skenes has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+14.35 Units / 159% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+15.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 63 games (+12.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 67 games (+11.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 63 games (+6.82 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 32-37 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -12.9% ROI).
- 28-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -13.32% ROI
- 26-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.8 Units / -24.46% ROI
- 41-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.55 Units / 16.27% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 36-33 against the Run Line (+3.52 Units / 4.16% ROI).
- 42-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 9.81% ROI
- 35-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 5.01% ROI
- 29-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -12.74% ROI
Cubs vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cubs vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Cubs vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Horwitz (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Cade Horton (CHC) | 4.5 -118 | 4.5 -110 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .130 (192 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .173 (56-for-323) against Paul Skenes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed an OPS of just .241 (192 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .479 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .077 (14-for-181) against Paul Skenes with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
32% of Cade Horton’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 50% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (7-for-24) against Cade Horton with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .151 — sixth Percentile.
Cade Horton has allowed an OBP of .333 (27 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 10th Percentile.
89% of Cade Horton’s non-fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 99th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 9-64 (.123) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Pirates are just 9-23 (.281) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Pirates are just 8-50 (.138) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 48-13 (.787) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are 42-27 (.609) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 23-3 (.885) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Cubs are 15-4 (.789) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Pirates (29th best runs scored) today.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have struck out in 41% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Pirates hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .682 (14,770 PA’s) since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .480 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .808 (1,481 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Cubs hitters are slugging .427 against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Cubs are batting .255 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Pirates pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have a first-pitch in-zone of 60% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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