- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Pirates / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Monday, September 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Pirates are 63-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 68-69 ATS.
Pirates vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 5-7, 3.89 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 9-8, 3.88 ERA
Pirates vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -120 | +120 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 +100 | -145 |
Pirates vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+22.90 Units / 164% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jared Jones has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 85% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+27.00 Units / 270% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+19.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+16.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+15.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 away games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 58% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 74-62 against the Run Line (+7.46 Units / 4.22% ROI).
- 63-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -7.07% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -5.13% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.57 Units / -3.08% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 68-69 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -6.58% ROI).
- 71-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 1.81% ROI
- 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI
Cubs vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Cubs vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Cubs vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Jared Jones (PIT) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Jones has struck out 31% (62/198) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Jared Jones has an average spin rate of 2538.5 RPM on fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 2236.2 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .168 (17 GB hits out of 101 GBs) against Jared Jones this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has allowed an OBP of just .250 (252 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 8% of batters they faced (22/263 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 69% (2,482/3,592) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 263 right-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (112/1,000 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 52-6 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Pirates are just 6-40 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 174-13 (.930) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Pirates are just 105-23 (.820) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 30-7 (.811) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 25-7 (.781) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Cubs are just 54-49 (.524) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 194 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Pirates are batting just .155 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .303 (5,187 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .927 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Cubs are batting .285 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cubs have scored 11.17 runs per game (67/6) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.70.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,337 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,604 of 17,684 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 9.17 (52.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.71 (1474.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 63 double plays in 955 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (588.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
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