- The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Cubs
- Pirates vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Pirates / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+110) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Pirates are 64-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 68-70 ATS.
Pirates vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 8-2, 2.23 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 5-5, 3.09 ERA
Pirates vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | O 7 +105 | -130 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -160 | U 7 -125 | +110 |
Pirates vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+22.90 Units / 164% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+27.00 Units / 270% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 47 games (+20.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+17.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+14.15 Units / 107% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 98 games (+13.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 46 away games (+1.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.85 Units / 33% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 75-62 against the Run Line (+8.46 Units / 4.74% ROI).
- 64-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -6.23% ROI
- 66-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -4.44% ROI
- 66-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.67 Units / -3.79% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 68-70 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -7.08% ROI).
- 71-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.94% ROI
- 64-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -7.92% ROI
- 69-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.86% ROI
Cubs vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cubs vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Cubs vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (44 SO in 112 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 47% (29 SO in 61 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has struck out 34% (69/201) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (551/804) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.2 MPH (449 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Opponents are hitting .358 (59-for-165) against Kyle Hendricks when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 17-29 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 8-27 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Pirates are just 6-40 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 47-64 (.423) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 25-7 (.781) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Cubs are 34-33 (.507) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Cubs are just 54-49 (.524) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .284 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cubs have scored 8.23 runs per game (107/13) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.
Cubs hitters are slugging .931 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .677 (2,371 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 459.1 feet — — 5th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,606 of 17,718 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.70 (1483.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 108 of 1,223 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 63 double plays in 962 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since last season (7,512 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Cubs vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
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