- The Dodgers are -325 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT | MLBN
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+260) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-325) on Sunday, April 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 11-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 13-13 ATS.
Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 1-2, 5.20 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 1-0, 3.71 ERA
Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +2.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | +260 |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | -325 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+21.85 Units / 243% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.35 Units / 89% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+4.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 11-17 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -23.9% ROI).
- 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -18.87% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 6.17% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 13-13 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 1.28% ROI).
- 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 2.51% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -7.04% ROI
Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -165 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (306/695) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has an average spin rate of 1927.5 RPM on curveballs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 2536.1 — first Percentile.
Bailey Falter has allowed an OPS of 1.402 (20 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .689 — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Falter located 45% of his pitches inside (264/591) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .136 (29-for-214) against Tyler Glasnow when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 59% (191 SO in 321 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow allowed an OBP of just .188 (197 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (81-for-484) against Tyler Glasnow since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are just 7-51 (.121) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 0-12 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Pirates are just 8-41 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 182-33 (.847) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 18-3 (.857) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters struck out 417 times in 1,598 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 34% of it’s PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .101 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .378 since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (9,720 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .618 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Pirates pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 20 double plays in 169 opportunities (12%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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