- The Padres are -210 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | SNPT | MLBN
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+185) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 56-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 61-59 ATS.
Pirates vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 9-6, 3.37 ERA
Pirates vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -115 | O 8 -120 | +185 |
| Padres | -1.5 -105 | U 8 +100 | -225 |
Pirates vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 45 games (+21.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+18.20 Units / 182% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 49 games (+52.10 Units / 106% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 79 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 away games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 away games (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 88 games (+7.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 66-52 against the Run Line (+11.61 Units / 7.63% ROI).
- 56-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 55-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -7.57% ROI
- 59-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.72 Units / -0.56% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 61-59 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 2.61% ROI).
- 67-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 2.24% ROI
- 64-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 3.97% ROI
- 54-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.95 Units / -12.73% ROI
Padres vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Padres vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 6.5 -190 | 6.5 +140 |
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 2.118 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .705 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 2.118 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .726 — second Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.562 (25 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.562 (25 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .432 — second Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.3 MPH (322 batted balls) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 100th Percentile.
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.0 MPH since last season (585 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.4 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (294 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 87.3
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (34/176) against Michael King on non-fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Pirates are just 12-18 (.400) after a home win this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Pirates are just 6-33 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Pirates are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 141-33 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Padres are 48-4 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Padres are 39-26 (.600) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Padres are 67-52 (.563) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Padres are just 13-23 (.361) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .493 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Pirates hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 170 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters have 203 strikeouts in 586 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 433 strikeouts in 1,281 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .281 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have just 801 strikeouts in 4,523 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 569 strikeouts in 3,196 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 232 strikeouts in 1,327 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this month (10 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Pirates pitchers this month (10 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Pirates pitchers this month (10 games) — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (6,819 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres): Personal, Out
- Rougned Odor (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tom Cosgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Suspension, Suspension
- Joe Musgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Fernando Tatis (San Diego Padres): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Pirates vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
