- The Rays are -170 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Pirates / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on Tuesday, April 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Pirates are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 2-2 ATS.
Pirates vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 0-0, 3.38 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Pirates vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -118 | +145 |
| Rays | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -102 | -175 |
Pirates vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+6.50 Units / 162% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.40 Units / 240% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 74 away games (+7.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.55 Units / 62% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 94 of their last 156 games (+27.66 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+22.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 90 of their last 153 games (+21.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 91 games (+11.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -52.34% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -61.16% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -25.22% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 17.14% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 6.1% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 15.13% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -51.14% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 44.32% ROI
Rays vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rays vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Rays vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Thomas Harrington (PIT) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -140 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (83 SO in 213 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .292 (144 Total Bases / 493 ABs) since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .410 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (8/11) against Paul Skenes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has an ERA of 2.02 (138.1 IP)since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 4.08 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz allowed a BABIP of .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .200 (57-for-285) against Shane Baz since last season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 20% (43/219) versus Shane Baz in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of just .319 (91 Total Bases / 285 ABs) since last season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 94th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 42-61 (.408) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Brewers (fourth best runs allowed) today.
The Pirates were just 65-7 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rays were 16-64 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rays are 72-41 (.632) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Tigers (19th best runs scored) today.
The Rays are 60-4 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Rays are 30-115 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are hitless in 6 AB’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .225.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .143 (7 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Pirates hitters slugged just .383 against LHP in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Pirates hitters are slugging .000 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .692 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters are slugging 1.385 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .598.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have 273 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 3rd most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers had 266 three-pitch strikeouts in the 2024 season — 3rd most in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 459.1 feet — — 5th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Pirates pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 52% of their games since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 3 of 137 batters (2%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays pitchers walked 3 of 137 batters (2%) over the last week of the regular season (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers walked 3 of 137 batters (2%) over the last 14 days of the regular season (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
More MLB Reading:
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