- The Tigers are -210 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-190) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Pirates are 29-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 40-33 ATS.
Pirates vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 5-3, 3.36 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 6-2, 2.97 ERA
Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -130 | O 8 -102 | +155 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -118 | -190 |
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+15.40 Units / 308% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+15.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+18.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 72 games (+17.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 70 games (+15.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+15.03 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 games (+14.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 35-37 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -9.12% ROI).
- 29-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.4 Units / -14.05% ROI
- 26-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.2 Units / -27.66% ROI
- 44-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.55 Units / 19.35% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 40-33 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 4.03% ROI).
- 46-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.5 Units / 11.72% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -4.9% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -3.07% ROI
Tigers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (383/822) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (87/511) against Bailey Falter this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (27/181) against Bailey Falter this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (101/207) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 75 of Casey Mize’s 330 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 23%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted .338 (52-for-154) against Casey Mize versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .224 (50-for-223) against Casey Mize with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .168 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (15/95) against Casey Mize this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are just 9-64 (.123) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 14-45 (.237) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Pirates are just 8-50 (.138) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 65-6 (.915) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .209 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 35% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 36% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .638 (2,697 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .691 (11,351 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .679 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Tigers hitters are slugging .543 against LHP this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
More MLB Reading:
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