- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Tigers Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Pirates / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | MLBN | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-150) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Pirates are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 24-29 ATS.
Pirates vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 3-4, 3.07 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 6-1, 2.25 ERA
Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -175 | O 6.5 +105 | +125 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +145 | U 6.5 -125 | -150 |
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+10.50 Units / 175% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 29-25 against the Run Line (+1.76 Units / 2.44% ROI).
- 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -9.51% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -2.02% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.22 Units / -5.43% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 24-29 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -10.44% ROI).
- 26-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.42% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 9.1% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -18.44% ROI
Tigers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Jared Jones (PIT) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (171/482) against Jared Jones this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (96/254) against Jared Jones this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 71% (605/854) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has struck out 33% (38/117) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .167 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 36% (32 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .091 (5-for-55) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .203 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (10-for-85) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are just 10-15 (.400) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .570.
The Pirates are just 119-29 (.804) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Pirates are just 156-184 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Pirates are just 84-13 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers are just 24-94 (.203) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are just 26-143 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are 42-14 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates hitters have 1,120 strikeouts in 4,449 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates hitters have 400 strikeouts in 1,181 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .653 (10,538 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Tigers are batting just .221 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Pirates pitchers over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,354 of 14,556 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 51% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 287 of 3,346 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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