- The Diamondbacks are -160 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSSW | ESPN+
The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-160) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Rangers are 70-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 75-70 ATS.
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford 5-2, 3.00 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 4-0, 4.08 ERA
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 36 games (+18.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 50 games (+12.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 26 games (+40.00 Units / 154% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+17.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+14.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+12.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 33 games (+19.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 89 games (+31.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 88 games (+22.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 64-81 against the Run Line (-28.9 Units / -15.16% ROI).
- 70-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -8.58% ROI
- 64-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.25 Units / -10.9% ROI
- 74-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 2.27% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 75-70 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -1.35% ROI).
- 81-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 7.21% ROI
- 83-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.7 Units / 12.27% ROI
- 57-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.05 Units / -21.47% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Cody Bradford (TEX) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cody Bradford has allowed an OBP of just .228 (241 PA’s) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has allowed a BABIP of .222 this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has walked 10 of 241 batters (4%) this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Cody Bradford has allowed an OPS of just .556 (241 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OPS of 1.444 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .680 — first Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (18 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .374 — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OPS of 1.444 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .673 — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rangers are just 11-189 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 10-102 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rangers are just 8-36 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers are just 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Diamondbacks are 20-15 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Diamondbacks are 59-12 (.819) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Diamondbacks are 22-18 (.550) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Diamondbacks are 12-45 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .100 on the road this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .282 (33 PA’s) on the road this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .675.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,322/17,748 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have put just 23% of their swings in play against LHP this month (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .429 with two-strikes this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,610 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .315 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.18 (596.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Rangers pitchers have walked 189 of 2,724 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 78 of 1,281 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
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