- The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 71-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 63-84 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 2-4, 3.96 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 7-11, 3.16 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | O 6.5 -115 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +150 | U 6.5 -105 | -160 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 away games (+6.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Justin Foscue has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 116% ROI)
- Justin Foscue has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 115% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 53% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 65-82 against the Run Line (-29.4 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- 71-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 66-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.25 Units / -9.5% ROI
- 74-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 0.93% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 63-84 against the Run Line (-24.85 Units / -13.56% ROI).
- 74-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.7 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 66-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -8.35% ROI
- 73-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.4% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer (TEX) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 30% (27/90) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (18/65) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .245 (687 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 99th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .253 (522 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 94th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .218 (55 Total Bases / 252 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .169 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (36-for-252) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .387 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 8-115 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are just 12-190 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 11-103 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rangers are just 5-209 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 60-7 (.896) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Mariners are 111-20 (.847) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Mariners are 208-4 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 10-9 (.526) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,334/17,863 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have 89 extra-base hits out of 302 total hits (just 29%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners are batting just .197 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners have scored first in 73% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (621.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 7.91 (33.0 IP) on the road this month (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Rangers pitchers have walked 191 of 2,749 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 80 of 1,306 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .277 (5,282 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.77 (665.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Mariners pitchers have walked 1,205 of 17,286 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
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