- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 71-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 63-85 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 5-13, 3.83 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 11-11, 3.65 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | O 6.5 +105 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 6.5 -125 | -160 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Heaney has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 76% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+8.35 Units / 70% ROI)
- Justin Foscue has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 116% ROI)
- Justin Foscue has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 115% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+5.50 Units / 138% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 66-82 against the Run Line (-28.4 Units / -14.51% ROI).
- 71-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -8.87% ROI
- 67-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.25 Units / -8.82% ROI
- 74-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.19% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 63-85 against the Run Line (-25.85 Units / -14.03% ROI).
- 75-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.7 Units / -9% ROI
- 67-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -7.68% ROI
- 73-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.34% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,485/2,724) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .176 (41-for-233) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (321/779) with two-strikes this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 95th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 30 of Andrew Heaney’s 206 fastballs in off the plate (15%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 14 of 547 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 22 of 711 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 77% (359/464) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 28 of 774 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 8-115 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are just 12-190 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 8-39 (.170) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Rangers are just 5-209 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 115-17 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Mariners are 72-14 (.837) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Mariners are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 43-5 (.896) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have put just 27% of their swings in play against LHP this month (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (727 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,340/17,898 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .196 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 80 of 1,315 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (629.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Rangers pitchers have walked 191 of 2,758 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 7.40 (41.1 IP) on the road this month (5 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .277 (5,317 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.79 (674.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (1418.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
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