- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
- Rangers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rangers / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSSW | ESPN+
The Texas Rangers (-115) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-105) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Rangers are 27-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 25-33 ATS.
Rangers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 2-3, 3.40 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 3-4, 3.15 ERA
Rangers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -105 | -115 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -115 | -105 |
Rangers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 20 games (+24.25 Units / 121% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+13.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+12.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 17 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 23-34 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -20.29% ROI).
- 27-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -13.62% ROI
- 21-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.5 Units / -24.6% ROI
- 33-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.05 Units / 16.11% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 25-33 against the Run Line (-16.16 Units / -20.96% ROI).
- 21-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -21.57% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 5.97% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -14% ROI
Marlins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (TEX) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .313 (91 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (108/652) against Michael Lorenzen since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .042 (1-for-24) against Michael Lorenzen — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
The last hit on a Michael Lorenzen changeup was May 8th. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Hunter Brown has the longest active streak at 20.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .156 (5-for-32) against Ryan Weathers on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .099 (9-for-91) against Ryan Weathers when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .398 (98 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .284 — second Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .165 (15 Total Bases / 91 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rangers are 38-22 (.633) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Rangers are just 3-168 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 9-152 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 5-77 (.061) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Marlins are 17-178 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Marlins are just 65-16 (.802) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Marlins are just 14-47 (.230) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Marlins are just 116-30 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .772 (6,207 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (309/2,152 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .100 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,886/14,487 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .206 (1,059 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,425 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have chased 33% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rangers have allowed 1.75 runs per game (100/57) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Rangers pitchers have walked 219 of 2,147 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Marlins have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Marlins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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