Rangers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

Tampa Bay Rays' Brandon Lowe runs the bases while scoring from first base on a two-run triple by Randy Arozarena off Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish in the third inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023, in Baltimore. Rays' Yandy Diaz also scored on the triple.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
  • The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Rays TV Channel: RASN | FSUN

The Texas Rangers (+115) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.

This season, the Rangers are 29-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 31-29 ATS.

Rangers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Kumar Rocker 1-3, 7.97 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-3, 4.95 ERA

Rangers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -190O 8.5 -115+115
Rays -1.5 +155U 8.5 -105-135

Rangers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+13.50 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+15.70 Units / 157% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+10.05 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 61 games (+20.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 61 games (+19.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 60 games (+2.80 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 12 games (+12.10 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+11.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 30-30 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -4.3% ROI).

  • 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -9.42% ROI
  • 19-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.05 Units / -37.98% ROI
  • 41-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.9 Units / 29.16% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 31-29 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 2.95% ROI).

  • 31-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.67 Units / -0.9% ROI
  • 22-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.6 Units / -24.91% ROI
  • 35-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.4 Units / 17.42% ROI

Rays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Junior Caminero (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jonathan Aranda (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Rays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jake Mangum (TB) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Rays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Jonathan Aranda (TB) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Junior Caminero (TB) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235

Rays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shane Baz (TB) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Kumar Rocker (TEX) 3.5 -125 3.5 -105

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Baz has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (214/577) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.

Shane Baz has a strike rate of 72% (205/285) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (61/266) against Shane Baz this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — fifth Percentile.

Shane Baz allowed a BABIP of .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 99th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Rangers are just 11-74 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.

The Rangers are just 43-66 (.394) on the road since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Rangers are just 12-54 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Rangers are just 1-15 (.062) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .183.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Rays are 15-151 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rays are 19-1 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .814.

The Rays are 3-24 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.

The Rays are 6-24 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .133.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,587 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,137 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Rays hitters slugged just .366 in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Rays hitters slugged just .366 at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .163 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 60 double plays in 377 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in 2023 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.