- The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rangers / Rays TV Channel: RASN | FSUN
The Texas Rangers (+120) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Thursday, June 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Rangers are 29-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 31-30 ATS.
Rangers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 4-2, 3.67 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 3-5, 3.22 ERA
Rangers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rangers | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -115 | +120 |
Rays | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -105 | -145 |
Rangers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+19.10 Units / 212% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+11.60 Units / 116% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 62 games (+19.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 62 games (+18.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 46 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 61 games (+1.80 Units / 2% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.50 Units / 52% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 31-30 against the Run Line (-2.4 Units / -2.97% ROI).
- 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -10.56% ROI
- 20-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -35.87% ROI
- 41-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.8 Units / 27.11% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 31-30 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 1.59% ROI).
- 32-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.33 Units / 0.44% ROI
- 23-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.6 Units / -23.03% ROI
- 35-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.3 Units / 15.48% ROI
Rays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
56% of Jack Leiter’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Leiter has walked 15% of batters in his last two starts — 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Jack Leiter has a strike rate of just 55% (138/249) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Jack Leiter has walked 17% of opponent 7-8-9 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers are just 9-20 (.310) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Rangers are just 11-75 (.128) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Rangers are 113-80 (.585) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Rangers are just 43-67 (.391) on the road since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays are 3-24 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 15-151 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 158-9 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Rays are 70-6 (.909) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .283 (2,197 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .539 (419 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of 1.074 (80 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .657.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Rays batted just .212 with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .169 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Batters facing the Rangers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 60 double plays in 383 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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