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- Rangers vs Reds Over / Under today: Runs
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The Texas Rangers () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Wednesday, April 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Rangers are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 2-3 ATS.
Rangers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 1-0, 1.80 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-0, 3.60 ERA
Rangers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Rangers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+16.50 Units / 236% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.35 Units / 78% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+17.75 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+17.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+16.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+13.60 Units / 340% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 147 games (+17.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+11.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 146 games (+9.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.15 Units / 49% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 1-5 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -63.45% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 22.52% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -67.69% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 58.21% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 2-3 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -32.87% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -19.05% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Reds vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Leiter has a strike rate of just 42% (14/33) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Jack Leiter has a strike rate of just 52% (14/27) in two strike counts this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (6/38) against Jack Leiter this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
Jack Leiter has a strike rate of just 56% (25/45) vs left-handed batters this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — eighth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (2/10) against Hunter Greene this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .176 (46-for-261) against Hunter Greene since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.3 MPH this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 94.0 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .174 (44-for-253) against Hunter Greene in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are just 9-123 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers are just 13-111 (.105) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Reds are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 22-33 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have just 7 strikeouts in 48 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have put just 25% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Rangers are batting just .299 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .147 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are hitless in 32 AB’s on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .225 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 94 of 1,483 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
More MLB Reading:
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