- The Rangers are +105 favorites vs the Twins
- Rangers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Twins TV Channel: RASN | TWTV
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-125) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the Rangers are 31-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 36-29 ATS.
Rangers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 5-3, 2.04 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 1-1, 5.22 ERA
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Twins | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+13.90 Units / 232% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+9.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 64% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 66 games (+22.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 66 games (+21.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+7.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 58 games (+12.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+10.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 34-31 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.18% ROI).
- 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -10.05% ROI
- 20-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.65 Units / -39.99% ROI
- 45-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.8 Units / 31% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 36-29 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 8.69% ROI).
- 35-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.06% ROI
- 26-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -17.24% ROI
- 35-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.35 Units / 8.84% ROI
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Tyler Mahle (TEX) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (27 Total Bases / 116 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of just .455 (126 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of just .278 (32 Total Bases / 115 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .527 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .212 (7-for-33) against Tyler Mahle on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .336 — 93rd Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zebby Matthews has thrown 58% of his pitches in the strike zone (100/171) in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 52% — 97th Percentile.
Zebby Matthews has allowed an OPS of 1.076 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .599 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .312 (5-for-16) against Zebby Matthews when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .211 — ninth Percentile.
Zebby Matthews has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) versus the top of the order in his last two starts — tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .314 — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 21-32 (.396) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 11-75 (.128) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .194.
The Rangers are just 25-128 (.163) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Rangers are just 12-54 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Twins are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Twins are 170-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .138 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,204 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .210 (1,242 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters are averaging 4.15 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Twins hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .191 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .178 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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