- The Twins are -170 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Twins TV Channel: RASN | TWTV | MLBN
The Texas Rangers (+140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-170) on Thursday, June 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rangers are 32-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 37-30 ATS.
Rangers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 3-5, 3.54 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-2, 3.77 ERA
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -115 | +140 |
| Twins | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -170 |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+18.20 Units / 228% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 40% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 68 games (+22.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 68 games (+20.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+7.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 35-32 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.9% ROI).
- 32-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -9.76% ROI
- 21-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.75 Units / -38.96% ROI
- 46-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.65 Units / 29.88% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 37-30 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 9.02% ROI).
- 36-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.22% ROI
- 27-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -16.87% ROI
- 36-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 8.37% ROI
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Evan Carter (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Patrick Corbin (TEX) | 4.5 +140 | 4.5 -190 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin had an ERA of 6.78 (83.2 IP) on the road in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.89 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .315 (179-for-568) against Patrick Corbin in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .284 (262-for-923) against Patrick Corbin since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .301 (220-for-731) against Patrick Corbin since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .283 against Bailey Ober non-fastballs this season — worst among qualified SPs– first Percentile. Opponents batted just .148 (45-for-304) against him non-fastballs last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a SLG of .465 non-fastballs this season — seventh worst among qualified SPs– 10th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 non-fastballs last season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (78/253) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted just .137 (40-for-293) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 21-32 (.396) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are just 11-75 (.128) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .194.
The Rangers are just 25-128 (.163) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are just 1-93 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Twins are 170-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .142 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,818 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .208 (1,278 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters had a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .177 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Rangers pitchers had an ERA of 5.18 (689.2 IP) on the road in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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