- The Rangers are -105 favorites vs the Yankees
- Rangers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rangers / Yankees TV Channel: RASN | Amazon
The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-115) on Wednesday, May 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Rangers are 25-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 24-23 ATS.
Rangers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 4-1, 2.31 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Yarbrough 1-0, 3.70 ERA
Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -105 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -115 |
Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonah Heim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+17.60 Units / 196% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+18.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+16.70 Units / 209% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.97 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.36 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+4.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 26-22 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 1.62% ROI).
- 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.84% ROI
- 15-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -38.82% ROI
- 33-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.35 Units / 29.95% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 24-23 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 7.15% ROI).
- 28-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 2.96% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -9.91% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.92 Units / 1.77% ROI
Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom (TEX) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (NYY) | 3.5 +155 | 3.5 -200 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has allowed a SLG of just .183 vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile but .532 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (31 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .172 (16-for-93) against Jacob deGrom this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 97th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OPS of just .397 (98 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Yarbrough has an average fastball velocity of just 86.9 MPH since last season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 94.6 — first Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough had an average fastball velocity of just 86.3 MPH in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.7 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .120 (16-for-133) against Ryan Yarbrough in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough had an average fastball velocity of just 86.1 MPH in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 94.8 — second Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 11-72 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.
The Rangers are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .173.
The Rangers are 111-78 (.587) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 62-41 (.602) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Yankees are 51-29 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Rangers (20th best runs allowed) today.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,275 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have drawn walks in 4% of its PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .790 (4,682 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .506 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of its PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .432 (227 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .232 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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