- The Astros are -210 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Astros TV Channel: FSUN | SCHN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Sunday, June 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rays are 30-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 31-27 ATS.
Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 4-4, 4.36 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 7-3, 1.99 ERA
Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -115 | +145 |
| Astros | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -105 | -175 |
Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 64.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+13.90 Units / 154% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in his last 10 games (+12.85 Units / 128% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+21.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.60 Units / 151% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+9.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.42 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 29-29 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.49% ROI).
- 30-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.67 Units / -0.93% ROI
- 22-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -22.46% ROI
- 33-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 14.89% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 31-27 against the Run Line (+5.77 Units / 7.82% ROI).
- 31-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -2.14% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -17.5% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 8.67% ROI
Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 13% (11/86) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (18 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — second Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch in-zone of just 50% (132/264) this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — seventh Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OBP of .364 (99 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 12th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 30 opportunities (33%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .138 (13-for-94) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (90/325) against Hunter Brown’s fastball since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
51% of Hunter Brown’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 15-150 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 18-1 (.947) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .813.
The Rays are 75-7 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were 65-10 (.867) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters slugged just .366 at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .933 (157 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OPS of 1.078 (17 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,228/8,258 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 60 double plays in 367 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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